Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.037786 0.041112 0.044461 0.048081 0.051875 0.055729 0.059934
2025-11-02 0.030972 0.035756 0.040740 0.046295 0.052292 0.058549 0.065547
2025-11-09 0.026561 0.032378 0.038626 0.045781 0.053694 0.062129 0.071751
2025-11-16 0.023191 0.029752 0.037002 0.045506 0.055111 0.065536 0.077621
2025-11-23 0.021428 0.028724 0.036979 0.046853 0.058195 0.070681 0.085332
2025-11-30 0.019808 0.027685 0.036797 0.047895 0.060833 0.075254 0.092358
2025-12-07 0.018219 0.026532 0.036358 0.048529 0.062917 0.079135 0.098554
2025-12-14 0.016566 0.025161 0.035544 0.048619 0.064285 0.082134 0.103698
2025-12-21 0.015634 0.024614 0.035662 0.049768 0.066854 0.086487 0.110375
2025-12-28 0.013916 0.022927 0.034270 0.048994 0.067061 0.088032 0.113761
2026-01-04 0.012819 0.021978 0.033737 0.049219 0.068420 0.090895 0.118652
2026-01-11 0.012009 0.021360 0.033580 0.049871 0.070268 0.094313 0.124182
2026-01-18 0.011215 0.020732 0.033403 0.050512 0.072138 0.097814 0.129890
2026-01-25 0.009612 0.018838 0.031464 0.048831 0.071080 0.097764 0.131362
2026-02-01 0.008596 0.017724 0.030512 0.048373 0.071510 0.099482 0.134925
2026-02-08 0.007742 0.016787 0.029751 0.048124 0.072170 0.101457 0.138782
2026-02-15 0.007481 0.016757 0.030245 0.049535 0.074942 0.106029 0.145784
2026-02-22 0.007142 0.016574 0.030504 0.050621 0.077292 0.110081 0.152167
2026-03-01 0.006705 0.016196 0.030461 0.051281 0.079084 0.113440 0.157708
2026-03-08 0.006147 0.015570 0.030023 0.051376 0.080126 0.115855 0.162094
2026-03-15 0.005917 0.015491 0.030384 0.052566 0.082595 0.120057 0.168676
2026-03-22 0.005207 0.014503 0.029339 0.051765 0.082422 0.120926 0.171149
2026-03-29 0.004798 0.014026 0.029045 0.051998 0.083601 0.123488 0.175706